CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75625ee5d4c80eec97da0ea9d86ad3ebdd56d0d45a1afadf8b4c69c5efb10cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…abc5backed BIG | 43c | 991.54$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 75c | 885.92$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Sinners | 62c | 756.77$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 17c | 669.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 71c | 636.82$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed BIG | 48c | 568.46$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Sinners | 34c | 511.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked BIG | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…90b3backed BIG | 9c | 451.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Sinners | 66c | 343.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Sinners | 45c | 290.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 61c | 287.93$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sinners | 65c | 232.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked BIG | 61c | 219.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…0034backed BIG | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 37c | 181.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Sinners | 42c | 179.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed BIG | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed BIG | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked BIG | 11c | 139.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sinners | 38c | 130.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…5808backed BIG | 33c | 120.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Sinners | 44c | 106.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed BIG | 34c | 100.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Sinners | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BIG | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed Sinners | 42c | 95.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…d9fabacked BIG | 16c | 94.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Sinners | 39c | 91.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 43c | 91.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed BIG | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sinners | 66c | 83.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Sinners | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Sinners | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Sinners | 41c | 71.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sinners | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Sinners | 71c | 68.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked BIG | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked Sinners | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sinners | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Sinners | 56c | 51.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Sinners | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Sinners | 61c | 40.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BIG | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed BIG | 39c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BIG | 38c | 31.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed BIG | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…fe66backed BIG | 39c | 30.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Sinners | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked BIG | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BIG | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.