CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd00351e5b0bc7519e68a0848e8a0292352e632f0096b57cf5327adde00ff589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, bankaPEPSI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 2,376$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.05 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked bankaPEPSI | 45c | 752.78$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked bankaPEPSI | 48c | 644.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 541.66$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed bankaPEPSI | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed bankaPEPSI | 40c | 353.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed bankaPEPSI | 34c | 320$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed bankaPEPSI | 16c | 262.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed bankaPEPSI | 46c | 188.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed bankaPEPSI | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked bankaPEPSI | 45c | 88.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…3704backed bankaPEPSI | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed bankaPEPSI | 48c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked bankaPEPSI | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 26.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 PlayoffsbankaPEPSI won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 2 WinnerbankaPEPSI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.