CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087c7928886b7a2d9494af981a31e8a55d591f4ef7ae73c89e637aed7d492d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- bankaPEPSIof Fire Flux Esports, bankaPEPSI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 6,832$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked bankaPEPSI | 52c | 6,628$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.7 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed bankaPEPSI | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 837.73$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed bankaPEPSI | 59c | 817.14$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 577.43$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.85 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed bankaPEPSI | 50c | 242.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 173.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 154.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…db0bbacked bankaPEPSI | 8c | 126.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked bankaPEPSI | 49c | 104.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 97.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed bankaPEPSI | 51c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…b1a7backed bankaPEPSI | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 PlayoffsbankaPEPSI won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.