CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767e951b170d62c0df075b60a37fe16dab27802c6e3e0f6dcee291664d8a96b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Imperial, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 51c | 6,447$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Keyd | 51c | 3,540$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Keyd | 48c | 2,477$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.15 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Keyd | 39c | 2,040$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.43 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Imperial | 48c | 1,961$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.07 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Imperial | 49c | 1,872$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Imperial | 45c | 1,534$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.43 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Keyd | 67c | 1,149$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Keyd | 59c | 938.04$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed Keyd | 79c | 828.01$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 47c | 738.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Keyd | 53c | 568.8$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 45c | 527.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.93 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 45c | 516.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Imperial | 32c | 466.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 53c | 447.95$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 50c | 424.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Keyd | 51c | 384.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked Imperial | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Keyd | 38c | 303.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Imperial | 53c | 300.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 21c | 284.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Imperial | 67c | 277.61$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Imperial | 37c | 231.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Keyd | 56c | 222.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 55c | 219.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Keyd | 65c | 218$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Imperial | 71c | 194.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Keyd | 23c | 160$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Imperial | 63c | 157.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Imperial | 47c | 151.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed Imperial | 68c | 132.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 15c | 124.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Keyd | 33c | 123.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Keyd | 43c | 122.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed Keyd | 22c | 116.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Imperial | 17c | 114.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Imperial | 75c | 107.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked Imperial | 47c | 106.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Keyd | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial | 40c | 94.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Keyd | 39c | 92.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Keyd | 39c | 88.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Imperial | 66c | 88.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Imperial | 34c | 88.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Imperial | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Keyd | 33c | 82.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Imperial | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Keyd | 28c | 80.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keyd | 14c | 80.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked Keyd | 13c | 78.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 27c | 71.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Imperial | 57c | 60.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Imperial | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…b903backed Imperial | 25c | 51.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Keyd | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Imperial | 75c | 48.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…46b0backed Keyd | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Keyd | 57c | 44.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed Keyd | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Keyd | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 49c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Imperial | 65c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Imperial | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Imperial | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Imperial | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Imperial | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Imperial | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Imperial | 57c | 22.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Keyd | 52c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Imperial | 53c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Imperial | 80c | 19.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Keyd | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Imperial | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.