CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a1a1fed603abb75ebbfc288b984f2b26c2ad087f6ba0d688d13c10a3a2ee16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Imperial, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Keyd | 43c | 1,055$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.79 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 56c | 561.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Imperial | 62c | 443.18$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 43c | 414$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Keyd | 61c | 233.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 77c | 205$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 25c | 198.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Imperial | 59c | 197.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 64c | 187.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Keyd | 42c | 166.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 21c | 98.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 79c | 98.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 59c | 93.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Keyd | 41c | 83.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Imperial | 78c | 72.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Keyd | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 55c | 69.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Imperial | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Keyd | 32c | 35.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Imperial | 58c | 25.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked Keyd | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Imperial | 62c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.