CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9ffc121b262c48b012544ba41cb77df3ff62fb7b10f62106d1d17901daed0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 80c | 638.31$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Keyd | 23c | 574.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 71c | 534$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 25c | 523$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Keyd | 20c | 478.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Imperial | 58c | 344.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 77c | 326.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 74c | 302.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Keyd | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Imperial | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Keyd | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Imperial | 76c | 132.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Keyd | 19c | 125.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial | 76c | 110.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 21c | 98.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 79c | 98.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…03d1backed Keyd | 16c | 63.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 71c | 56.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Imperial | 73c | 52.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Imperial | 56c | 48.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Keyd | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Imperial | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Imperial | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Imperial | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.