Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59d5ccbc3080953fd195d8490de2779384396ff2fc74fc9b751a1cfa819875c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 4c | 809.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 596.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 14c | 548.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…57e3backed Yes | 29c | 483.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 9c | 465.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 460.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 340.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 315.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…394ebacked Yes | 68c | 281.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 67c | 266.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 78c | 211.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…ce49backed Yes | 31c | 189.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 63c | 180.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 55c | 175.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 22c | 149.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 25c | 146.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 25c | 131.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 13c | 130.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 79c | 117.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 115.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 21c | 100.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 100.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked No | 76c | 94.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 90.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 33c | 83.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 69c | 83.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 80.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 74.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 19c | 73.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…6087backed Yes | 79c | 68.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…fca8backed Yes | 38c | 66.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 65.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 62.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 24c | 60.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 18c | 59.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 56.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…0e6ebacked Yes | 20c | 55.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 36c | 52.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 36c | 51.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 25c | 47.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 34c | 41.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 35c | 41.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…3b59backed Yes | 27c | 39.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 37c | 37.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…e3dcbacked Yes | 34c | 32.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…f2e3backed No | 63c | 32.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 46c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 31.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 62c | 30.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…6ca0backed Yes | 70c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 58c | 30.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 28.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 27.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 78c | 26.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…442bbacked No | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 52c | 26.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 24.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed No | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 21.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 67c | 21.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…6631backed No | 76c | 19.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 78c | 16.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 72c | 16.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 77c | 15.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 78c | 15.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 78c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or higher on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.