Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Konyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736983faab1f1b4c26742d39f872141a4f972ca920c88d281077511aeff8c006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76df…b9c5backed No | 73c | 2,408$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,282$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 630.04$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 73c | 599.68$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 6c | 576.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 69c | 419.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 290.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 286.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 262$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 255.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 197.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 180.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 179.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 73c | 119.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 118.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 118.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 115.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 113.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 89.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 74c | 88.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 27c | 63.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 51.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 32.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 22.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed No | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.