CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc282429b905b9f9b6961e8e91c68bd0753b4fd5e56760724bab5b7a4c1237339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof SPARTA, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 67c | 5,873$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed SPARTA | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.93 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked SPARTA | 32c | 1,671$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.57 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked SPARTA | 33c | 849.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed SPARTA | 32c | 701.68$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed SPARTA | 34c | 554.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GenOne | 64c | 478$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed GenOne | 67c | 470$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed GenOne | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SPARTA | 35c | 340.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked SPARTA | 29c | 284.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed GenOne | 67c | 225.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked GenOne | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 29c | 171.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 28c | 139.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed SPARTA | 28c | 110.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SPARTA | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed GenOne | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed GenOne | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked GenOne | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed GenOne | 68c | 79.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed GenOne | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed GenOne | 67c | 51.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed SPARTA | 32c | 36.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked SPARTA | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked GenOne | 69c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked GenOne | 67c | 26.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked GenOne | 66c | 26.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed GenOne | 67c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GenOne | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed GenOne | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed GenOne | 67c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed GenOne | 67c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed GenOne | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.