CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5a3bdccb970e523ebfa5a9c003d5b96f483d35348af69fe2d209315ffb3f73

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Metizportof fnatic, Metizport
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Metizport	44c	1,994$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.24	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9943…67b7backed fnatic	46c	1,167$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.62	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed fnatic	58c	1,032$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.77	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Metizport	59c	856.29$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.37	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed fnatic	13c	800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	593	43.2%256 W · 337 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Metizport	55c	764.19$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.34	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Metizport	39c	758.77$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.05	526	36.5%192 W · 334 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed fnatic	55c	742.09$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.73	405	42%170 W · 235 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport	72c	677.84$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.94	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Metizport	41c	616.19$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.84	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Metizport	71c	595.63$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.23	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x235f…9225backed fnatic	37c	539.85$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Metizport	68c	500.31$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.68	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic	31c	495.45$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.62	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic	39c	460.74$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.38	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed fnatic	4c	458.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	126	27%34 W · 92 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86aa…0d32backed Metizport	69c	437.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.22	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed fnatic	56c	373.21$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+139.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Metizport	44c	343.91$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.03	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed fnatic	59c	340$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.6	271	56.1%152 W · 119 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed fnatic	31c	338.47$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.39	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked fnatic	12c	326.36$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic	66c	303.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked fnatic	33c	259.49$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.42	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked Metizport	34c	258.03$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.3	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed fnatic	24c	250.35$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked fnatic	47c	249.21$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed fnatic	35c	244.98$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.54	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked fnatic	46c	243.98$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.21	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Metizport	59c	233.55$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	222	53.2%118 W · 104 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed fnatic	60c	217.61$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked fnatic	48c	207.3$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.43	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked fnatic	37c	200$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.75	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Metizport	39c	200$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…9c83backed fnatic	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Metizport	46c	195.65$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.65	485	62.7%304 W · 181 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport	66c	194.96$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.92	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Metizport	45c	190.4$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.07	304	50.7%154 W · 150 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked fnatic	37c	187.57$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.17	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked Metizport	80c	183.34$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.91	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed fnatic	30c	175.28$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	168	29.2%49 W · 119 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Metizport	51c	172.55$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.55	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed fnatic	27c	171.41$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed fnatic	41c	155.84$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.89	160	23.8%38 W · 122 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked fnatic	56c	142.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked fnatic	33c	136$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic	23c	129.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked fnatic	63c	126.19$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…48efbacked Metizport	45c	109.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.5	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed fnatic	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	309	51.5%159 W · 150 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic	40c	102.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked fnatic	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	956	42.6%407 W · 549 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic	56c	92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic	25c	89.19$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed fnatic	55c	86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked fnatic	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-20.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed fnatic	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked fnatic	41c	80$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	97	32%31 W · 66 L	-11.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Metizport	75c	79.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	397	72.5%288 W · 109 L	+38.5wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20c4…f632backed fnatic	64c	78.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked Metizport	67c	74.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.42	95	67.4%64 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked fnatic	63c	73.85$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	236	54.7%129 W · 107 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed fnatic	43c	73.17$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked fnatic	40c	68.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	675	47.3%319 W · 356 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed fnatic	30c	65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Metizport	36c	59.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.39	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed fnatic	56c	45.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	217	55.8%121 W · 96 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Metizport	68c	44.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport	35c	43.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.57	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd37…9d71backed fnatic	65c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed fnatic	58c	38.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked fnatic	57c	37.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	170	67.6%115 W · 55 L	+14.0wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked fnatic	56c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	341	47.5%162 W · 179 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Metizport	63c	35$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed fnatic	60c	33.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked fnatic	59c	32.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	491	49.9%245 W · 246 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…abc9backed Metizport	44c	31.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed fnatic	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Metizport	64c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.36	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked fnatic	55c	23.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Metizport	44c	23.46$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.14	850	54.4%462 W · 388 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked fnatic	64c	23.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Metizport	66c	22.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed fnatic	61c	22.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked fnatic	58c	20.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)Metizport won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event