CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e6696aee6c326e46d11c463415bd1ea8e2577cb3377f6cf1ccbbe38bdbf080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof fnatic, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Metizport | 49c | 4,765$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.49 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Metizport | 65c | 4,120$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.01 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked fnatic | 46c | 2,590$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed fnatic | 38c | 1,715$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.86 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 41c | 1,167$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed fnatic | 30c | 739.23$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed fnatic | 35c | 737$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked fnatic | 40c | 709.02$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.17 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked fnatic | 50c | 509.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed fnatic | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed fnatic | 51c | 450.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed fnatic | 4c | 361$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked fnatic | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 23c | 227.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 14c | 214.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Metizport | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Metizport | 68c | 181.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Metizport | 67c | 175.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked fnatic | 42c | 145.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed fnatic | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic | 10c | 106.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 34c | 91.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed fnatic | 35c | 81.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked fnatic | 56c | 74.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked fnatic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed fnatic | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked fnatic | 51c | 52.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed fnatic | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Metizport | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed fnatic | 53c | 43.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked fnatic | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…b953backed fnatic | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed fnatic | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked fnatic | 53c | 30.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked fnatic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Metizport | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Metizport | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Metizport | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)Metizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.