CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ad5a26fe6d04a2dc75ac0f5f4361622a47baceb403f07cd349a7e566701ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof fnatic, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Metizport | 66c | 1,465$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.08 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 26c | 627.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked fnatic | 40c | 590.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed fnatic | 31c | 531.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Metizport | 40c | 494.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport | 56c | 389.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked fnatic | 43c | 350.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Metizport | 66c | 331.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…87e0backed fnatic | 54c | 307.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked fnatic | 41c | 307.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Metizport | 59c | 298.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 34c | 287.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 28c | 261$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 33c | 240.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed fnatic | 63c | 236.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed fnatic | 41c | 203.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…923dbacked fnatic | 63c | 200.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Metizport | 79c | 163$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic | 31c | 145.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Metizport | 37c | 135.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked fnatic | 22c | 132.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked fnatic | 32c | 115.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 30c | 114.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 35c | 99.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked fnatic | 63c | 97.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed Metizport | 42c | 57.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 31c | 55.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Metizport | 65c | 54.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked fnatic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked fnatic | 30c | 36.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Metizport | 49c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Metizport | 50c | 30.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Metizport | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)Metizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.