Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85c6f09881480d5f7900a21fc94a223c15372aafaeecbbcc93d6e003b4f6908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 3,117$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 56c | 2,750$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 954.06$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Over | 53c | 943.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Over | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 674$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Under | 55c | 608.82$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 534.39$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Over | 53c | 425.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 48c | 416.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 50c | 375$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 366.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 278.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 259.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 257.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 49c | 255.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 246.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 172.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 130.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 108.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 52c | 103.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 45c | 65.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…d175backed Over | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 57.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…a88bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 50c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 53c | 32.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…b6bebacked Over | 48c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…660fbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Team to Take First CornerAlgeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.