Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59e9e649e92ee617b75bd976a50ecefcdad434c140212ef2ad2315a283b0943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Under | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 33c | 255.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 34c | 239.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 60c | 216.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over | 67c | 197.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 80c | 125.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 20c | 110.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…41f6backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 66c | 80.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…9c12backed Over | 66c | 60.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 66c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…72a2backed Over | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…42a4backed Over | 69c | 28.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…2800backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Over | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Team to Take First CornerAlgeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.