Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17664c88aec598c5c2109a596dbca0e84327a550152fb50c5a9b842d6ac0ed80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over | 20c | 1,003$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 698.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 80c | 582.78$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Over | 18c | 544.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 20c | 319$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 79c | 311.3$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 76c | 239.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Under | 77c | 173.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed Over | 18c | 169.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 80c | 151.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Over | 17c | 149.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 21c | 138.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 125.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…1f97backed Over | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 80c | 51.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2217backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…bd8fbacked Under | 77c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Team to Take First CornerAlgeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.