TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under42c1,349$567 inWon+$782.786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Over58c721$418 inLost-$418.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c493.7$327 inWon+$167.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be3…6566backed Over58c431.03$250 inLost-$2504847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over59c339.93$200 inLost-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under41c284.08$116 inWon+$167.613636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Over58c280.91$163 inLost-$162.939372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Under42c273.69$115 inWon+$158.742665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over14c248.17$34 inLost-$33.910945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under42c193.1$81 inWon+$1121,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…8289backed Over59c170.51$100 inLost-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Over58c168.97$98 inLost-$985749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under43c160.42$69 inWon+$91.751,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc27…4c31backed Over58c158.69$92 inLost-$92.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c140.56$58 inWon+$82.932,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Over58c115.57$67 inLost-$67.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under45c108.56$49 inWon+$59.9316452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under42c99.99$42 inWon+$57.998938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c99.98$42 inWon+$57.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost-$5010440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…4647backed Over58c68.97$40 inLost-$405455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over53c22.97$12 inLost-$12.1717737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Over57c20$11 inLost-$11.414953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over57c19.99$11 inLost-$11.3910849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166d…42a4backed Over54c19.98$11 inLost-$10.894156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.