Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a3c351796414bc88424bd3c666fa75d8cc7e8241bdba9a9fbc33c6f1168800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdf6…00a1backed Over | 58c | 8,690$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 43c | 6,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.92 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 43c | 1,693$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.11 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 643.57$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 43c | 487.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.77 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 42c | 471.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.36 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 42c | 320$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 302.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 278.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 42c | 260$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Over | 57c | 212.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 22c | 204.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Over | 57c | 163.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 160.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 58c | 144.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 57c | 138.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…28aebacked Over | 57c | 60.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…b878backed Over | 57c | 50.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…3386backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 39.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 42c | 38.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…bd64backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…6713backed Over | 57c | 34.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…1e57backed Over | 57c | 27.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.