TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b5e…ba7ebacked Over44c699.98$308 inLost-$307.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Under56c579.26$324 inWon+$254.9821755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Under47c356.57$168 inWon+$188.985747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked Over53c279.25$148 inLost-$1482740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon+$78.5724046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over46c100$46 inLost-$4653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c92.67$54 inLost-$54.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c53.74$18 inWon+$35.273,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed Over53c30.19$16 inLost-$1613364.7%86 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over53c28.26$15 inLost-$14.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…2f2abacked Under53c20.28$11 inWon+$9.532835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Under53c20.28$11 inWon+$9.531020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.