CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608634aa622940d090b4e473068aa2664e955623147c054391edec9e20b99c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53de…409abacked Over | 46c | 5,298$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Under | 53c | 1,298$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 54c | 892.62$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.9 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Over | 46c | 818.28$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 727.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.1 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 54c | 502.27$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 47c | 499.52$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 449.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 323.68$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Under | 54c | 263.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 193.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 53c | 188.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 53c | 149.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 53c | 137.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 53c | 132.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 53c | 113.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 53c | 84.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 53c | 84.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Over | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 46c | 46.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 34.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 43c | 23.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerDENDELE CS won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)DENDELE CS won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)DENDELE CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.