TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof OG, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked OG14c21,174$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.082,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG19c20,990$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,085.681,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed OG26c16,687$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.722848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex74c16,288$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.621,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex74c15,034$11,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.0528159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed OG19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Yandex74c13,311$9,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.129754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed OG18c11,491$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG19c9,676$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.941,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked OG26c9,638$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.793647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG19c6,587$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.461,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked OG18c6,460$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.441944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG19c6,003$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.491,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked OG26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.989839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex79c5,450$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.4441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed OG27c4,773$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.8336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed OG25c3,555$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed OG19c3,273$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.5745750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG26c3,100$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed OG20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked OG27c3,000$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.532951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed OG21c2,963$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.6960349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG21c2,857$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Team Yandex75c2,570$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.6722450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed OG18c2,270$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked OG27c2,130$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5755158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked OG1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Yandex75c1,979$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.747864.1%50 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed OG26c1,644$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3151140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed OG27c1,538$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3810546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed OG27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed OG27c1,500$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed OG27c1,425$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed OG26c1,400$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.689850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked OG26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9817047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed OG27c1,397$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.271050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked OG20c1,280$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked OG13c1,245$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.581,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked OG28c1,198$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3813854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb18…2571backed OG26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Yandex73c1,147$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.711947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Yandex74c1,048$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex72c1,004$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0967555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed OG26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…dc9ebacked OG27c1,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed OG5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed OG21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed OG28c989.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed OG20c976.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked OG20c888$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed OG27c799.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed OG13c787.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex74c770$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.256852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked OG11c749.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.21,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed OG5c737.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.883951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Yandex73c686$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2214562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Team Yandex73c684.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.778959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Yandex73c682.87$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3722363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG21c637.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.481,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG25c620$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0e…2becbacked OG29c617$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked OG28c598.89$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.696842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed OG28c598.89$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.694652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed OG26c575$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.54035%14 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed OG11c569.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed OG27c550$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.512536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex72c521.03$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex72c519.99$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2380544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…172abacked OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Yandex79c500$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6741050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed OG20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011846.6%55 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…72a1backed OG26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1c…6b41backed OG27c474$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Team Yandex74c417$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.423253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x214d…3ce9backed OG27c414$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef9…34c3backed Team Yandex75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Team Yandex73c395.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Team Yandex74c390.12$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.488056.3%45 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed OG21c390$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.910741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cb…7284backed Team Yandex73c363.58$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.172339.1%9 W · 14 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e12…e867backed OG21c358.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.226633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Yandex71c344$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7627060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Yandex73c340$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4338142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e3…2c38backed Team Yandex74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.843450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed OG28c313$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.642441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed OG26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed OG4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG24c296.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.332,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Team Yandex73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Yandex74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.277058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed OG26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.