TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, SHISHKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2775c5,565$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.95,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked K2777c3,591$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.6392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed SHISHKA17c2,187$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1323245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed SHISHKA24c1,305$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.278143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed SHISHKA26c1,248$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7777351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked SHISHKA26c1,159$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed SHISHKA23c1,126$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.957641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed SHISHKA24c1,075$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0619340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed K2774c772.8$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.933145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SHISHKA30c750$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SHISHKA18c748.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed SHISHKA25c536$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13419245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed K2775c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12526155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed K2777c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed SHISHKA24c487.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SHISHKA4c481$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SHISHKA24c473$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked SHISHKA12c425.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SHISHKA20c403$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.145,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SHISHKA11c383.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.653,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SHISHKA12c364.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3175833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked SHISHKA29c346.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8839772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2775c338.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.752,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed SHISHKA23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6928434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2776c264.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.022,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed SHISHKA24c242.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked K2775c233.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3344675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed SHISHKA13c231.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9222346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked SHISHKA22c216.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked SHISHKA24c209.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.435131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked SHISHKA24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed K2776c197.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed SHISHKA25c195.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9115349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed SHISHKA24c184$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1613840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…17e6backed K2777c170.83$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.354751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed K2776c167.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1859049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed K2776c162.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8847054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed SHISHKA25c158.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.529731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…e925backed SHISHKA24c158.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SHISHKA35c152.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.432,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked K2778c150.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.221,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2776c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed K2776c141.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.441,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SHISHKA33c137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.532,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed K2778c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2140449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SHISHKA26c128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.142,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SHISHKA40c117.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.622,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed K2776c107.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked SHISHKA23c103.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.946943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked SHISHKA23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.619954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed K2776c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d70…ae13backed SHISHKA23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked SHISHKA23c96.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.176744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked K2762c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.229156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed SHISHKA36c86.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3114839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked SHISHKA19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed SHISHKA23c81.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.787653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x239c…f7c2backed SHISHKA22c80.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.563336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked SHISHKA25c78.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked K2768c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ea…7b04backed K2776c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SHISHKA31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked K2776c64.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.589153.8%49 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked SHISHKA29c63.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked K2774c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed SHISHKA34c57.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9914322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SHISHKA33c55.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.684,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked K2775c54.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5523654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed K2776c54.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0934750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SHISHKA23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed SHISHKA24c44.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed K2776c41.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9623465%152 W · 82 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed K2774c40.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked SHISHKA26c40.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.496761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed K2776c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.633869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed SHISHKA30c36.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7310437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked K2777c35.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed K2773c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.455749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d8…fd15backed K2776c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked K2776c26.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2614751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…69e4backed K2778c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed K2776c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67176.1%54 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked K2778c24.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.358564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed K2776c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8550056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed K2777c17.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0612844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed K2778c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.716363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked K2772c15.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.316735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed K2775c15.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7911358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.