CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb97cc4e79e5d55e47f3e37cb392015292a2dd1b619ce1230ccd23984947b40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, SHISHKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed SHISHKA | 52c | 2,149$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.46 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 57c | 1,433$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.78 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 51c | 1,396$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SHISHKA | 41c | 888.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed SHISHKA | 43c | 700.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed K27 | 50c | 595.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SHISHKA | 31c | 499$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SHISHKA | 25c | 444.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…c5b2backed K27 | 55c | 347.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed SHISHKA | 43c | 264.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SHISHKA | 30c | 260.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SHISHKA | 34c | 238.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SHISHKA | 43c | 226.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SHISHKA | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed K27 | 51c | 191.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked SHISHKA | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked K27 | 70c | 176.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 51c | 173.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked K27 | 80c | 137.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SHISHKA | 47c | 137.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed K27 | 44c | 135.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed K27 | 67c | 104.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…01fcbacked K27 | 60c | 100.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed K27 | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed SHISHKA | 43c | 84.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SHISHKA | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed K27 | 43c | 78.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SHISHKA | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 54c | 63.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked K27 | 49c | 62.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked K27 | 49c | 59.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked K27 | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked SHISHKA | 57c | 42.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked K27 | 58c | 41.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SHISHKA | 53c | 37.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SHISHKA | 57c | 34.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed K27 | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…2b9fbacked K27 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SHISHKA | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed K27 | 68c | 24.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked K27 | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked SHISHKA | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs SHISHKA (+3.5)K27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SHISHKA (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.