CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SHISHKA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc55ff172d62e68f46a850e8e19234d8f4ad80eb0a9831a005c87e88d8fd4d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, SHISHKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked K27 | 50c | 2,211$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 47c | 879.6$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked K27 | 62c | 500.92$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SHISHKA | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed SHISHKA | 50c | 499.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SHISHKA | 50c | 482.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked SHISHKA | 50c | 428.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 50c | 385$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed SHISHKA | 49c | 371.69$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SHISHKA | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked SHISHKA | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed SHISHKA | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SHISHKA | 36c | 166.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked SHISHKA | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SHISHKA | 50c | 146.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked SHISHKA | 51c | 145.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed SHISHKA | 50c | 129.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed K27 | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed SHISHKA | 51c | 107.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed SHISHKA | 50c | 105.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SHISHKA | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked K27 | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked SHISHKA | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SHISHKA | 50c | 97.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked K27 | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 55c | 82.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed SHISHKA | 49c | 76.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SHISHKA | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked SHISHKA | 32c | 71.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed K27 | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…c028backed SHISHKA | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…de11backed SHISHKA | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed SHISHKA | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed K27 | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SHISHKA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs SHISHKA (+3.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.