Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe632e593b4720215df251b41de4946e1f6b0dfbbd9b3f8d6f5546ce89d0e3665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, IGZIST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed REJECT | 75c | 1,229$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked IGZIST | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed REJECT | 79c | 631.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REJECT | 74c | 512.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed REJECT | 77c | 340.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked IGZIST | 26c | 331.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IGZIST | 26c | 314.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked IGZIST | 24c | 244.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed IGZIST | 26c | 237$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed IGZIST | 27c | 201.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked IGZIST | 23c | 184.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked IGZIST | 12c | 149.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed IGZIST | 27c | 135.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked IGZIST | 18c | 133.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed IGZIST | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed REJECT | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed IGZIST | 24c | 121.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked IGZIST | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked IGZIST | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed IGZIST | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked IGZIST | 23c | 99.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed IGZIST | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked IGZIST | 27c | 90.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed IGZIST | 16c | 86.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed IGZIST | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed IGZIST | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…02e8backed IGZIST | 23c | 72.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked REJECT | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed REJECT | 71c | 60.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked REJECT | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed IGZIST | 27c | 49.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked REJECT | 69c | 43.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked REJECT | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed REJECT | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REJECT | 69c | 38.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…d654backed REJECT | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REJECT | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed REJECT | 78c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST - Map 1 WinnerREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST - Map 2 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.