TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under28c15,563$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.651,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over77c7,474$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.6439964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.981,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over70c2,659$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.711,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under29c2,332$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.142,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over76c1,873$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.63650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over70c1,855$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.5211943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Under20c1,690$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3382944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over70c939$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.311,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over70c887.64$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2935442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over70c853.7$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.111,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Over70c816.2$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under29c785.47$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7612843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under20c721.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3178050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.863560%21 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12041343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over70c520$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15611938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over80c500.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0224643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1157839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+104.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over70c485.57$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6754529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under20c466.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under20c466$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.28542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over70c463.11$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0382836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Under20c457.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.491520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Over70c405.29$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5912263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over70c403$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.98045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e49cbacked Under8c386.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over70c375$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over70c344.97$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.491,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over69c318.06$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.429447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over77c307.11$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.641,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under5c292.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1516819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7177746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over74c282.07$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6750145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Under24c215$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3413639.7%54 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Over70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.292934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over74c211.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.792,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2750…3134backed Over70c211.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed Over71c205.87$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.76520%13 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6061256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over72c199.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.24748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over77c194.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2940365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under20c187.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5921844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8617661.9%109 W · 67 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over70c125.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6160855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over70c121.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.449857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under32c115$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.561746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7532939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under20c102.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.514122%9 W · 32 L-9.8wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-61.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019470.6%137 W · 57 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under28c98.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.831,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38df…fdd8backed Over70c95.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7134357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under29c82.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1241156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2513242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4313354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Under29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under19c69.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.182,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over72c57.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over70c56.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.964658.7%27 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1527745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under27c45.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3621747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over70c45.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7127356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…c685backed Under24c42.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over70c37.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2317840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over71c33.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…268dbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cda…81d4backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576573.8%48 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ebf…ff4abacked Over70c27.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.237153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.153047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Over70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55058%29 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over76c22.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3726754.7%146 W · 121 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ff…6b68backed Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4311759.8%70 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over70c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.439948.5%48 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.320143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over79c20.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over73c20.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe571…02a3backed Over77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9316346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.