MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb682ea4657718b22df3b46509f9eda0a5d647555946762980de65f6f0010abac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 38,363$15,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,770 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 34,108$20,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,810.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 32,609$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.97 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 25,994$14,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,957.04 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 20,491$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 13,574$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 9,932$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 7,008$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.43 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,702$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.73 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,598$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,472$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.91 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 5,318$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.41 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 4,635$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 4,537$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,534$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 4,016$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 4,004$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,882$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,761$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.37 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,512$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,285$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,002$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 2,960$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 2,872$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,777$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.73 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,300$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.3 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,150$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.49 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,799$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.59 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,697$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,495$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,268$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,100$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,047$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…3bd2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 931.17$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 915$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 801.13$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.29 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 785.33$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.05 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 785.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 772.39$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 742.32$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 681.14$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 640$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 629.51$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 588.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 571$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 570.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 539.13$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 520.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 512$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 511.45$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 505.69$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 505.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.56 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 479.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 459.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 450.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 420.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 420.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 388.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 381.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 381$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 345.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 340$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 316.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…a41dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 306.55$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 285$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 276.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 262.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 261.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.