TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c102,977$50,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,518.4741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under51c35,000$17,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,85086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c15,300$7,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80315451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c12,576$6,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,413.7692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c10,574$5,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.834,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under51c5,400$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75411656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c4,210$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.81,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c2,383$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.611,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.831,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over55c1,525$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.288,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c1,395$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.668,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over55c1,151$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6722753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47370744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c1,039$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c845.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.642,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over51c775$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.752,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under51c764.71$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39012449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c629.28$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.933,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c602.53$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.296,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over59c506.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.112,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24582741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over24c481.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Under44c448.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.191926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c429.06$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.441,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c395.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under51c365$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.151,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under42c356.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.895,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over52c305$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.484049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c269.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.342,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under32c260.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.926,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over49c257.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Over51c236.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c193.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under50c173.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6626759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c162$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6825249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over62c148.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.173,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under51c147.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9916353.4%87 W · 76 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c125.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1570154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c107.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4672648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under51c104$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under38c103$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6472247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over62c64.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.562,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe474…2cbebacked Under38c62.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed Under51c59.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c56.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.641,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over34c52.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c51.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Over42c51.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.862951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under39c45.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7679255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over62c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Over39c42.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under36c31.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed Over50c30.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over72c29.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4432857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under51c29.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0529446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Under50c28.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.244346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under48c26.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6461450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under44c22.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1167453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c22.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1832…2184backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over51c20.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.078046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over50c20.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under50c20.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.153056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109146.2%42 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1070455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Over59c19.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7312572%90 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under74c15.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3210449%51 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.