MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7faee0eabbb41ebad46fd4f90dedb53a73dbe7087595230f55566967c6adae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 102,977$50,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,518.47 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,850 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 51c | 15,300$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 12,576$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,413.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 10,574$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,210$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,383$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.61 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 1,525$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 1,395$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 55c | 1,151$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.67 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,039$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 845.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.64 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 775$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 629.28$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 602.53$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 59c | 506.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 481.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Under | 44c | 448.17$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 429.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 395.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 365$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 42c | 356.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 305$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 269.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 260.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 257.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Over | 51c | 236.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 193.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 50c | 173.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 162$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 62c | 148.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 147.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 125.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 107.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 62c | 64.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2cbebacked Under | 38c | 62.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Under | 51c | 59.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 56.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 52.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 51.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Over | 42c | 51.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 39c | 45.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 39c | 42.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 36c | 31.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed Over | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 72c | 29.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 50c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 26.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…2184backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 51c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Over | 59c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 74c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.