Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f2ab7b8c8121a71f62980ed2e9dc4cd7dba42fd311c45b903b1e041e66e79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 49c | 4,711$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 2,561$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 42c | 2,320$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Over | 51c | 1,636$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 48c | 999.91$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.95 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 48c | 798.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 52c | 631.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 586.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 526.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 51c | 500.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 440$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 394.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 320$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 70c | 285.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 50c | 257.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…be69backed Over | 45c | 244.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 201.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 30c | 156.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 25c | 140.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 60c | 99.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Over | 34c | 91.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 51c | 83.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 51c | 80.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 28c | 71.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 51c | 69.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 30c | 66.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 62.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 25c | 54.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 44c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 52c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Under | 58c | 20.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5this page
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.