Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49313fbd6dab53f83fae1a5967f00698d2794ea39c2594a24999de13b96a108d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,695$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 616.97$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 564.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 79c | 506.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 489.61$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 51c | 358.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 52c | 261.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 55c | 224$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 24c | 199.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 30c | 164.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 137.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 125.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed Over | 76c | 117.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 109.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 64c | 99.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Over | 49c | 81.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 63.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 78c | 53.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…2dd8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 32c | 34.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5this page
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.