Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69540fd426c0041a5e15549b22f2fbc74b186e405e1dd4d47d543393b9707539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 3,420$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 50c | 2,518$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 2,447$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,018$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,207$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 922$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.02 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 813.91$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.77 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 767.38$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 39c | 516.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 502.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 18c | 489$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 48c | 398.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 55c | 272.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 45c | 223.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 197.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 135.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 56c | 114.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 96.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 86.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 38c | 80.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 57c | 76.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 67c | 69.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 63.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 61.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 63c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 45c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 49c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.