Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kacper Knitter vs Adam Majchrzak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d7d9e7528dc4692f6f2fcfe5a44252915f0e19a3389925023a41110943c46a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kacper Knitterof Kacper Knitter, Adam Majchrzak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Adam Majchrzak | 63c | 261.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Kacper Knitter | 21c | 256.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Kacper Knitter | 44c | 218$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Adam Majchrzak | 59c | 164.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kacper Knitter | 49c | 151.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Adam Majchrzak | 57c | 111.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Adam Majchrzak | 76c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kacper Knitter | 43c | 95.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Kacper Knitter | 35c | 71.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Adam Majchrzak | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kacper Knitter | 44c | 62.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kacper Knitter | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adam Majchrzak | 55c | 41.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Adam Majchrzak | 63c | 34.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Majchrzak | 58c | 32.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…3484backed Kacper Knitter | 79c | 30.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kacper Knitter | 39c | 30.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…1b53backed Adam Majchrzak | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Adam Majchrzak | 77c | 29.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Adam Majchrzak | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Adam Majchrzak | 64c | 25.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Adam Majchrzak | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.