TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c13,737$7,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,146.6219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c12,496$8,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.14,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c12,461$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,651.681,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c11,295$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.7883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over53c8,383$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.9112948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c4,787$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.1150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c4,329$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2512055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over21c4,286$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c3,535$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6857139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c2,477$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.662,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c2,412$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.123,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,342$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.0764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over26c2,044$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.561,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c1,925$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.2275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3453342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c1,122$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8519632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over9c1,013$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.25446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c923.15$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.276349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under47c846.17$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4711822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over52c803.49$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.12988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c783.36$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c614.63$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed Over40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c451.45$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.271,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Under47c425.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under47c400.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over21c355.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under48c303$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.75651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over35c285.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over5c280.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.07170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over53c273.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c269.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.441,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over38c247$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.862065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over53c239.62$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1279666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Under48c231.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under78c190$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over35c177.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c153.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9444039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over34c146.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c142.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.051,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under49c138.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.572045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7614525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under69c129.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.427365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c127.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1227758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over10c101$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5115344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa443…1826backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b001backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9916342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Over51c96.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.031741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under69c95.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6520857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c89.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7644424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over53c87.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under55c86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.73560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7af1…92cbbacked Over53c82.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under49c81.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66767.2%45 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over52c70.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.758647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over52c68.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.472343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.282661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c58.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6722557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c57.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.471,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf625…b7c7backed Under48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over54c55.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305650%28 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051973.7%14 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over22c51.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over50c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over29c47.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under68c45.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Over53c44.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under53c44.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over53c43.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e3…cc35backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under49c39.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.136645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164c…1de0backed Over45c33.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under48c31.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under55c30.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under56c30.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.