La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84145485509dd809b1614e488303f2b86dfbded7b9f160545c8a596d4697fc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 14c | 5,686$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.27 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 5,050$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 28c | 1,061$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 69c | 999.96$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 12c | 833.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 31c | 781.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 3c | 728.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 661.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 320.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 71c | 304$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 271.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 77c | 248$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 26c | 184.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 177.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 25c | 171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 30c | 119.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 70c | 93.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 29c | 77.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 30c | 63.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 71c | 39.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 32.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.