TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c32,428$18,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,326.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c18,446$7,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.4283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9712553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c9,604$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.0499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under73c6,860$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.342955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under77c6,729$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.025446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over1c4,302$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over31c3,065$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c2,671$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.493,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c2,525$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c2,441$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.5957139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c2,231$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.01862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over76c2,206$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over56c2,076$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over55c1,942$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under47c1,679$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over67c1,679$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.623342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over36c1,667$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c1,361$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.052,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over38c1,232$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.374663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over78c1,180$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.412941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c998.1$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.521,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c979.09$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.919561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over19c799.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under60c795.27$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5911251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c784.48$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e79…0f4abacked Over44c721.5$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under22c695.8$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over51c682.35$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c652$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5815660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over43c651.16$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c650.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5410350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under68c629.56$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over53c531.99$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5911049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c484.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c440.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c439.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.611225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under48c418.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c414.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.61,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over42c409.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over37c400.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8215540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Over75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c394.88$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5527758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c372.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over43c360$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.335166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c303.33$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.63562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11716745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over50c299.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over36c277.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under27c275.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9814525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over13c237.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.345547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over77c222.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.466259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under46c211.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.471250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0035…f536backed Over49c203.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over62c199.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9810121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked Under73c194.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under52c193.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0713642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c191.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0711342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over55c187.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over22c185.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+95.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over47c182.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c168$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.611253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over29c158.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.177842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a3…ee91backed Under26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c137.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…435ebacked Under49c128.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.36757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under59c122.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under40c119.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under54c118$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1910445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.734050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over44c109.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.763154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under51c108.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5210254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over43c105.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under24c102.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.891,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c101$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under60c100.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.173053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c100.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4744424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under49c97.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6911542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c97.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over78c96.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under52c94.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over42c92.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c87.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.311,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over77c85.34$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.715651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over61c81.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Under59c79.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.622254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.