La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ae3e1b26a357b2ef494c13e0ec420f40d675112d1d7fd8508a750ee8bff32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 9,583$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.59 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Under | 9c | 6,250$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 6c | 5,010$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Over | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 1,158$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 64c | 1,008$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 24c | 814.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 6c | 780$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 22c | 651.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over | 78c | 591.83$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 11c | 506.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Under | 7c | 408$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed Under | 28c | 371.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 7c | 322.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…7166backed Over | 75c | 217.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 6c | 211.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 11c | 206.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 202.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 129.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 12c | 100.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 68c | 85.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 70c | 59.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…c847backed Over | 78c | 31.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 78c | 30.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 68c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Over | 67c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…31e6backed Over | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.