TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c499.26$312 inWon+$187.021,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c464.12$279 inWon+$185.084,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c367.89$150 inLost-$150.2910350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over48c249.99$120 inLost-$12010049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under52c137.99$72 inWon+$66.2414525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over38c126.32$48 inLost-$482934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c109.7$42 inLost-$41.8540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c77.33$39 inWon+$37.8964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over25c75.98$19 inLost-$18.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over26c73$19 inLost-$18.662147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under55c60$33 inWon+$26.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c39$20 inWon+$18.7299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c38$28 inWon+$10.2641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc732…7ae8backed Over49c25.14$12 inLost-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.26767.2%45 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.