La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c78f473180c94d16d456360f9f9d096f7a61df98e191fd4d25b520899278ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Real Betis Balompié, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 10,526$7,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.28 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 4,775$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.6 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Real Betis Balompié | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Real Betis Balompié | 16c | 1,592$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 437.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 400.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 389.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 310.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Betis Balompié | 5c | 302.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Betis Balompié | 10c | 263.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Betis Balompié | 14c | 237.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 220.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 212.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 188.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 161.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 137$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 135.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 130.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Betis Balompié | 13c | 124.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…6718backed Real Betis Balompié | 25c | 121.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 99.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 76.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 75.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Real Betis Balompié | 29c | 71.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Real Betis Balompié | 28c | 57.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…43c3backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 76cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 29.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.