Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb102ee00fd5b99d34af710da0d43c4d344892f5bc28fa9b3f77bc728884e7545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 70c | 23,734$16,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.42 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes | 45c | 19,421$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 54c | 11,682$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 10,473$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 9,903$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 9,034$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.24 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 7,597$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.74 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 72c | 7,326$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.59 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 78c | 6,923$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.24 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 68c | 6,115$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.77 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 5,608$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 5,203$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 50c | 5,014$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.23 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 2,566$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 36c | 2,370$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.52 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 2,247$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.21 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 2,243$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.35 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 55c | 1,568$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,464$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.53 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 60c | 1,308$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.15 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab1…1f4bbacked No | 57c | 1,212$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 41c | 1,133$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.83 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 29c | 1,038$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.6 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 786$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.24 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 57c | 782.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 62c | 774.18$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 66c | 770.54$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 46c | 666$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…bf16backed Yes | 44c | 658.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 23c | 649.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 67c | 583.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…f84ebacked Yes | 44c | 577.76$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 563$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 563$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 55c | 517.78$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 4c | 486.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 64c | 322.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 63c | 311.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 75c | 268.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 262$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 28c | 260$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 235.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 231.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Yes | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 48c | 210.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 65c | 202.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 37c | 199.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 69c | 190.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 55c | 177.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 33c | 177.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 20c | 176.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 58c | 170.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 158.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 55c | 156$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 146.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 138.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 137.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 47c | 133.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 56c | 125.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 53c | 117.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 117.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 54c | 110.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 35c | 104.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 13c | 102.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 55c | 102.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 55c | 101.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 97.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 38c | 96.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 42c | 92.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 78c | 82.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 51c | 79.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 79.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 44c | 77.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 69.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 71c | 64.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 45c | 64.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.