TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c2,145$346 inLost-$345.85,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under66c889.59$587 inWon+$302.462065%13 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c660.01$97 inLost-$96.9971533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over3c456.46$14 inLost-$13.692,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over9c365$33 inLost-$33.421931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c204.78$18 inLost-$18.432,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Over19c152.52$30 inLost-$29.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…00fcbacked Over17c151.26$26 inLost-$26.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under80c68.2$55 inWon+$13.6419729.9%59 W · 138 L-21.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.