Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f832951820a56bd5e269a2ce414ab4ccfea300503d475cc4790022081ff6588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, FC Alverca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Alverca | 43c | 11,804$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.67 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sporting CP | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Sporting CP | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sporting CP | 57c | 1,785$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Alverca | 43c | 1,672$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Sporting CP | 57c | 1,568$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.24 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sporting CP | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sporting CP | 58c | 636.04$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Sporting CP | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked FC Alverca | 41c | 446.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Sporting CP | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sporting CP | 56c | 394.04$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Sporting CP | 59c | 347.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sporting CP | 59c | 346.58$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Sporting CP | 59c | 338.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Sporting CP | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed Sporting CP | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Alverca | 32c | 127.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Sporting CP | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Sporting CP | 59c | 115$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Sporting CP | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Alverca | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FC Alverca | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sporting CP | 58c | 41.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Sporting CP | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed FC Alverca | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed FC Alverca | 43c | 29.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Alverca | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sporting CP | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Sporting CP | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed Sporting CP | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Sporting CP | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: FC Alverca O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: Sporting CP 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.