TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,903 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c531.91$408 inWon+$124.168,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under67c516.34$346 inWon+$170.3929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over42c491.19$207 inLost-$207.0635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under71c485.43$347 inWon+$138.886339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under78c456.02$358 inWon+$98.241,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c451.18$182 inLost-$182.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Under60c429.85$260 inWon+$170.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c247.67$125 inLost-$124.7851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over18c223.94$40 inLost-$407925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Under77c214.52$165 inWon+$49.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under14c169.05$24 inWon+$145.386232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over59c163.71$96 inLost-$96.221,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Under38c160.56$61 inWon+$99.93148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c156.74$87 inWon+$69.945,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under36c139.79$51 inWon+$88.8310635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under38c129.55$50 inWon+$80.014934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over25c122.61$31 inLost-$31.219050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over30c112.68$34 inLost-$34.189641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under80c65.58$52 inWon+$13.4340451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over33c44.95$15 inLost-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over67c40.22$27 inLost-$27.072,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…e2d0backed Under40c37.12$15 inWon+$22.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over48c29.19$14 inLost-$13.9516864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over43c25.07$11 inLost-$10.989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.