South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c873bed6343be83132edbc2295d2ad26ba7c84a43933a8bcd1831d4331b9e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 2,150$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.78 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,191$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 811.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 574.78$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 518.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 54c | 360.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 52c | 176.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 45c | 168.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 52c | 159.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 141.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 78c | 129.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 22c | 121.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 78c | 101.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 55c | 51.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 35.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.