South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6415dca5136659d2743939e635bf293bc693771a5f47729db83ecf75dc8c8826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 11,599$6,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.63 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 30c | 5,881$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.75 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 4,312$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.26 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 4,235$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.78 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 27c | 3,691$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 3,549$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 3,499$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 76c | 3,374$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.56 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 56c | 2,530$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 72c | 1,631$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 69c | 1,435$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 910.29$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 53c | 740.4$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 681.76$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 63c | 498.52$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 450.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 21c | 408.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…710fbacked Under | 78c | 386.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 321.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 307.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 300.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 33c | 267$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 236.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 189$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 180.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 56c | 179.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 170.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 157.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 21c | 151.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 72c | 117.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 115.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 24c | 113.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 100.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 97.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 33c | 89.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 35c | 31.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 76c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 79c | 30.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 79c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.