TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c4,628$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.48,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under55c3,291$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.657950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c2,944$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.455,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over33c2,006$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.628743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over35c1,780$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.6219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c1,572$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.9975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c1,494$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.582,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c1,383$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.9426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c1,275$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4512940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under40c961.9$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under49c823.22$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc867…8b00backed Over63c789.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+83.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under54c770.69$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35446530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under27c595.15$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.217251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over72c572.61$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.331,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Over38c483.18$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c405.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under6c392.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5718426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c341.56$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c331.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under36c311.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5712338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over56c279.34$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under28c269.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over54c250.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.424665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c243.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.361,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under67c223.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.68247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under52c200.77$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.421044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over47c190$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4315768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c175.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over58c167$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.919437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under29c155.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9938233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c153.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over64c147.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2429245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under68c145.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over79c127.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.491,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under67c122.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2812545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under39c118.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.536230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c113.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.371,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over71c109.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…7b1abacked Over54c93.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.085834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under42c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under56c83.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9810766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over74c81.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.288375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over46c74.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.172,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4925147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over62c67.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4415552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under63c64.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.214153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under29c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over60c61.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over47c60.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over71c59.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2440451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over54c55.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.887467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over53c55.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over53c53.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.165123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over60c52.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c52.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7321752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Over73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under53c46.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under48c44.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.410352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c36.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over56c35.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.665957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over61c31.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6216864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over53c31.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.419050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f00…5396backed Over76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.414643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c29.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5831136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c26.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under67c22.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9611944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Over71c19.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under53c19.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over71c14.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.332653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.