Fifa International · resolved market
United States to score first vs. Türkiye?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d41c71e1639d2847663060ee305b074380baf39422218873539e6974dc7b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 42c | 4,089$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.32 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 42c | 3,531$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.81 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,431$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 3,301$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 1,415$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 1,139$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes | 58c | 874$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 41c | 599.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 55c | 395.68$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 57c | 332.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 44c | 303.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 300.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 220.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 39c | 200.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Yes | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 177.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…1fb3backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…e09bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 59c | 168.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 78c | 166.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 16c | 164.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…efa8backed No | 45c | 162.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 139.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 127.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 41c | 118.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…ac6dbacked Yes | 61c | 106.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 96.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…c6a0backed Yes | 59c | 95.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 39c | 86.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…ebe1backed Yes | 60c | 82.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…6968backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 41c | 59.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…2109backed Yes | 56c | 52.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b5…3b75backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…9aabbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…aee5backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…6e44backed Yes | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 60c | 39.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…2943backed Yes | 61c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 33.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d988backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…4d46backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 72cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 42c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 57c | 26.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 58c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 59c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…8215backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to score first vs. Türkiye?this page
- Türkiye to score first vs. United States?No won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.