Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye to score first vs. United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeac078aedcb87746c67b07c952537d4401cd7f8395db094f936487d38ccb981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,553$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 36c | 821$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 38c | 406.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 37c | 150.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…279abacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 127.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 37c | 116.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 96.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 94.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 35c | 86.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 65c | 86.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…3338backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 36c | 69.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 66.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…cdf4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300e…8f1cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 44.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 38c | 43.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 40.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 40.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 36c | 35.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 38c | 30.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 298 | 46%137 W · 161 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 62c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye to score first vs. United States?this page
- Türkiye vs. United States: Neither team to score first?No won
- United States to score first vs. Türkiye?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.