La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD to score first vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad9468625a36234ffa2ac1fd59581028f819e984361db8b4ccc984f34202412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce8b…38a4backed No | 65c | 1,100$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 34c | 871.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 735$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 730.73$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 67c | 521.44$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 67c | 496$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 66c | 496$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 64c | 437.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 389$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…9169backed No | 65c | 377.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…1422backed No | 66c | 355.87$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9627backed Yes | 36c | 279.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…96fabacked Yes | 37c | 223.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 36c | 219.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Yes | 36c | 218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 36c | 204.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 63c | 95.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 47.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 65c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…7529backed No | 65c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD to score first vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona to score first vs. Levante UD?Yes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.