Fifa International · resolved market
Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8742e105aaa42c188e131576be344abddc0ee8461d20814c74a3db4b455560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 36c | 4,390$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.68 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,646$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 2,558$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.84 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,308$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 1,008$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 721.17$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 710.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 53c | 486.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 43c | 433.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 395.39$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…a68dbacked Yes | 65c | 221.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 68c | 210.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 166.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…1d2fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 65c | 160$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…cfbbbacked Yes | 65c | 135.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 34c | 112.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 36c | 105.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 36c | 99.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 97.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 34c | 86.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 35c | 79.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cff5backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 38c | 76.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 68.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 36c | 65.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed No | 35c | 57.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…7761backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 37c | 44.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 35c | 40.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 66c | 38.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 37c | 33.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 35c | 32.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…751bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…e251backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…bd36backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d20bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 62c | 22.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?this page
- South Africa to score first vs. Korea Republic?Yes won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.