Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa to score first vs. Korea Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5850acd944c3560f278eb684e85ea1bd637d463e5b3a256897dfe6ca129705d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 2,558$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.7 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,997$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.05 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 66c | 1,814$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.78 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,575$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 1,014$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.24 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 856.94$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 29c | 738.86$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.59 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 71c | 710.99$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 73c | 611.41$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.33 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 31c | 600$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 383.71$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 359.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 66c | 349$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 34c | 340$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…79b9backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 30c | 240.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 132.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked No | 73c | 121.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed Yes | 34c | 116.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 35c | 115.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 73c | 112.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 72c | 105.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 72c | 83.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 68.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 69c | 65.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 59.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 32c | 56.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 28c | 51.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…80babacked Yes | 31c | 47.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 35.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 20.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 69c | 15.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa to score first vs. Korea Republic?this page
- Korea Republic to score first vs. South Africa?No won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.