Fifa International · resolved market
Will Korea Republic vs. Bolivia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5e32c595bfd5148dbbfbfc6ba500a442b902cf592358ad1fa8b4fb4f2fcc37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,788$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 40c | 1,939$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 1,578$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 1,433$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.37 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 17c | 999.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 18c | 666.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 35c | 640$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 17c | 589.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 540.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 35c | 537.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 529.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 34c | 388.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Yes | 33c | 302.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 37c | 245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 33c | 215.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Yes | 24c | 211.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 157$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 145.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 144.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 139.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes | 39c | 129.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 24c | 128.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 16c | 97.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…2d99backed Yes | 19c | 94.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 15c | 75.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes | 35c | 42.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 71c | 31.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea Republic vs. Bolivia end in a draw?this page
- Will Bolivia win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.